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🚩 Government red flags
Concrete preparation steps by the US government (for example embassy evacuations, new national emergencies or terrorism alerts).
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Global level, last 7 days
The current read
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Main drivers
Tripwires
Concrete warning signs of a world war or a global catastrophe. A tripwire is marked triggered only when an action is confirmed by several reliable outlets.
Watch for
What changed since the last report
Trend, last 7 days
Tap a name to hide or show it. The method was rebuilt on Nov 14, 2026, so earlier values are on the old, more alarmist scale.
Categories
Tap a category to see every event the analyst weighed and what it set aside.
How events connect
Markets
Context only. Market moves are not threat signals on their own.
Markets & energy
Charts
Oil & fuel
Front-month futures, daily change vs the prior settlement. Gasoline and diesel are wholesale futures converted at 42 gallons per barrel, before taxes and retail margin.